Improvement of Hydrologic Dam Risk Analysis Model Considering Uncertainty of Hydrologic Analysis Process

A Retrospective Analysis of Model Uncertainty for Forecasting Hydrologic Change

GIS-based hydrologic modeling offers a convenient means of assessing the impacts associated with land-cover/use change for environmental planning efforts. Alternative future scenarios can be used as input to hydrologic models and compared with existing conditions to evaluate potential environmental impacts as part of this process. Model error, however, can be significant and potentially compoun...

Stochastic Residual-Error Analysis for Estimating Hydrologic Model Predictive Uncertainty

A hybrid time series-nonparametric sampling approach, referred to herein as semiparametric, is presented for the estimation of model predictive uncertainty. The methodology is a two-step procedure whereby a distributed hydrologic model is first calibrated, then followed by brute force application of time series analysis with nonparametric random generation to synthesize serially correlated mode...

Analysis of hydrologic systems at multiple spatial scales and its implications for aggregating hydrologic process

The Axis of Risk and Uncertainty in Hydrologic Design

The uncertainty of the hydrologic risk of flood related hydraulic structures is determined by estimating the variance of the risk of failure based on the methods of moments (MOM), probability weighted moments (PWM), and maximum likelihood (ML) assuming that the underlying model is the Gumbel distribution. The derived variances of the risk based on the three estimation methods are functions of s...

woman-defined identity: analysis of selected poems of adrienne rich

the current thesis is composed in five chapters in the following fashion: chapter two encompasses the applied framework of the project in details; the methodology of carl gustav jung to explain the process of individuation, the major archetypes and their attributes and his techniques to assess the mind’s strata are all explained. moreover, the austrian psychoanalysts, heinz kohut’s models of a...